A Variational Approach to Robust Bayesian Interpolation
This paper details a robust Bayesian interpolation procedure for linear-in-the-parameter models. Robustness is achieved via a Student-$t$ noise model, defined hierarchically in terms of an inverse-Gamma prior distribution over individual Gaussian observation variances. Variational techniques are exploited to update this prior in light of the data, while also inferring all other model variables. The key to this approach is flexibility; it can infer Gaussian noise where appropriate but can adapt to accommodate heavier-tailed distributions in the presence of outliers.