Information and Intelligence

Neil D. Lawrence

The Stokes Society, Pembroke College

Motivation

Perpetual Motion and Superintelligence

  • 1925: Motor vehicles (no perpetual motion)
  • 2025: Promises of superintelligence singularity
  • Same fundamental impossibility?

Why Perpetual Motion Failed

\[\frac{\text{d}H}{\text{d}t} \geq 0\]

  • Entropy always increases
  • No motion without entropy production
  • No work without energy input

An Equivalent Statement for Intelligence?

Maxwell’s Demon:

  • “Intelligent” entity that violates 2nd law
  • Resolution: Landauer’s principle?
  • Information erasure requires energy

Implication

  • Intelligence has thermodynamic cost
  • Information processing has physical limits

Information-Theoretic Limits on Intelligence

  • Thermodynamics limits mechanical engines

  • Information theory limits information engines

Same kind of fundamental constraint

What Intelligent Systems Must Do

  • Acquire information (sensing)
  • Store information (memory)
  • Process information (computation)
  • Erase information (memory mgmt)
  • Act on information (output)

What is the thermodynamic cost?

Landauer’s Principle

Erasing 1 bit requires: \(Q \geq k_B T \log 2\)

  • Not engineering limitation
  • Fundamental thermodynamic bound
  • Entropy must go somewhere

At room temperature: \(\sim 3 \times 10^{-21}\) Joules/bit

Information

Thermalisation from Different Initial Conditions

  • 9 balls on a \(3 \times 3\) grid;
  • Different starting conditions.

Initialisation: Display:

Jaynes and Maximum Entropy

Maximum Entropy Motivation

  • Jaynes (1957): Statistical mechanics as inference with incomplete information
  • Maximum entropy principle: maximise uncertainty given constraints
  • Avoids unwarranted assumptions beyond available data

Dice Example

  • Dice example: Average result 4.5 instead of 3.5
  • Constraints:
    • \(\sum_{n=1}^6 P_n = 1\) (normalization)
    • \(\sum_{n=1}^6 nP_n = 4.5\) (observed average)

Die Roll Simulation

click die or button to roll

Rolls: 0
Sample mean:
H(p):


Outcome weights (auto-normalised to probabilities)

The General Maximum-Entropy Formalism

\[ p_i = \frac{\exp(-\lambda_1 f_1(x_i) - \ldots - \lambda_m f_m(x_i))}{Z(\lambda_1,\ldots,\lambda_m)} \] \[ Z(\ldots) = \sum_{i=1}^n \exp(-\lambda_1 f_1(x_i) - \ldots - \lambda_m f_m(x_i)) \] \[ \langle f_k \rangle = -\frac{\partial}{\partial \lambda_k}\log Z(\lambda_1,\ldots,\lambda_m) \quad k=1,2,\ldots,m. \]

Sampling Two Dimensional Variables

Correlation

  • Correlation is when two variables are dependent

Sampling Two Dimensional Variables

Independent Gaussians

Correlated Gaussians

Anticorrelated Gaussians

The Classical Observer

The Classical Observer - Correlated

The Classical Observer - Anti-correlated

The Inaccessible Game

The Munchkin Provision

Munchkin Card Game

Rules may be inconsistent … so …

Any other disputes should be settled by loud arguments, with the owner of the game having the last word.

Munckin Rules (Jackson, 2001)

A Tautology

Self-governing systems cannot refer to external arbitration.

The No-Barber Principle

Russell’s Barber Paradox:

  • Barber shaves all who don’t shave themselves

Does the barber shave themselves?

  • Paradox: Definition includes itself in scope

No External Adjudicators

Forbidden:

  • External observer
  • Pre-specified outcome space/Hamiltonian
  • Privileged decomposition
  • External time parameter

No appeal to structure outside the game

Baez-Fritz-Leinster Characterization of Information Loss

Baez et al. (2011):

  • Entropy from category theory
  • Three axioms uniquely determine information loss
  • No probability needed initially

The Three Axioms

\[F(f \circ g) = F(f) + F(g)\]

  • Information loss is additive
  • Compose processes → add losses

Convex Linearity

\[F(\lambda f \oplus (1-\lambda)g) = \lambda F(f) + (1-\lambda)F(g)\]

  • Probabilistic mixture of processes
  • Linear in probability weights

Continuity

  • Small change in process
  • Small change in information loss
  • \(F(f)\) continuous in \(f\)

The Main Result

Three axioms \(\Rightarrow\) unique form: \[F(f) = c(H(p) - H(q))\]

  • Information loss = scaled entropy difference
  • Shannon entropy emerges from axioms
  • No other measure satisfies all three

The Inaccessible Game Setup

  • Avoid external structure.
  • Represent information loss
  • Enforce information conservation

Information Isolation

  • Define information loss
  • Isolate game from observation/interaction
  • No external observer can extract or inject information

Marginal Entropy Conservation

\[ \sum_{i=1}^N h_i = C \]

  • Isolation: cf energy conservation — but for information

The Classical Observer - Inaccessible

Joint Entropy

  • We don’t see see the outcome space
  • But we know it has a joint entropy

The \(I + H = C\) Structure

\[ \sum_{i=1}^N h_i = C \]

What does this conservation imply for dynamics?

Multi-Information: Measuring Correlation

\[ I = \sum_{i=1}^N h_i - H \]

‘Information Action’

\[ I + H = C \]

Conserved quantity splits into two parts

Analogy to classical mechanics

  • Energy: \(V + T = E\)
  • Information: \(I + H = C\)
  • System “rolls downhill” from correlation to disorder

Energy

Energy Constraints

  • Normally we derive physical laws by

Maximise entropy subject to energy conservation

The Conservation Law

Marginal Entropy Conservation

\[ \sum_{i=1}^N h_i = C \]

Entropy Constraints

  • Now derive game rules by

Maximise joint entropy subject to marginal entropy conservation

Energy

  • In certain thermodynamic limits:
    • Marginal entropy conservation \(\equiv\) Energy conservation

See Lawrence (2025)

Intelligence

Thanks!

References

Baez, J.C., Fritz, T., Leinster, T., 2011. A characterization of entropy in terms of information loss. Entropy 13, 1945–1957. https://doi.org/10.3390/e13111945
Jackson, S., 2001. Munchkin. Steve Jackson Games.
Jaynes, E.T., 1957. Information theory and statistical mechanics. Physical Review 106, 620–630. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRev.106.620
Lawrence, N.D., 2025. The inaccessible game. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2511.06795